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CE-071: Análise de Regressão Linear

CE-071: Análise de Regressão Linear

Detalhes da oferta da disciplina

Scripts, notas e documentos

Apostilas e textos úteis: ce071_livros.zip (84 MB)

Histórico das Aulas do Curso

Abaixo o histórico de atividades realizadas em classe e atividades extra classe aplicadas.

  1. 10/02:
    • Informação sobre a oferta da disciplina;
    • Introdução à regressão linear;
    • Panorama do conteúdo previsto.
  2. 12/02:
    • Análise gráfica exploratória visando aplicação de regressão.
  3. 17/02:
    • Representação matricial;
    • Interpretação geométrica;
    • Estimação pelo método dos mínimos quadrados.
  4. 19/02:
    • Métodos numéricos considerados na estimação: decomposição QR e de Cholesky.
  5. 24/02:
    • Estimação baseada na verossimilhança.
  6. 26/02:
    • Esperança e variância dos estimadores;
    • Teorema de Gauss-Markov;
    • Análise de variância.
  7. 10/03:
    • Regressão linear múltipla, resultados representados matricialmente;
    • Quadro de análise de variância;
  8. 12/03:
    • Propriedades distribucionais dos estimadores;
    • Teste F de uma função linear para inferência sobre \beta;
    • Teste F do quadro de análise de variância.
  9. 17/03:
    • Teste de hipótese para \beta e subconjuntos de \beta;
    • Teste da soma de quadrados extra;
    • Intervalos de confiança para \beta_j e funções lineares de \beta;
    • Intervalos de confiança para o valor predito e para observação futura.
  10. 19/03:
    • Prática de regressão linear múltipla com o R;
    • Estudo sobre o preço de imóveis em função da área.
  11. 24/03:
    • Fórmulas e matrizes correspondentes ao declarar modelos;
    • Tipos de parametrizações em modelos lineares para variáveis categóricas;
    • Prática de regressão linear múltipla com o R.
  12. 26/03:
    • Prática de regressão linear múltipla com o R;
    • Estudo sobre o preço de veículos em função da quilometragem e tipo de câmbio;
    • Especificação e testes de hipóteses entre modelos aninhados.
  13. 31/03
  14. 02/04
  15. 07/04
  16. 09/04
  17. 14/04
  18. 16/04
  19. 21/04
  20. 23/04
  21. 28/04
  22. 30/04
  23. 05/05
  24. 07/05
  25. 12/05
  26. 14/05
  27. 19/05
  28. 21/05
  29. 26/05
  30. 28/05
  31. 02/06
  32. 04/06
  33. 09/06
  34. 11/06
  35. 16/06
  36. 18/06
  37. 23/06
  38. 25/06

Avaliações

Trabalho 1

  • Função para estimação de beta a partir de X e y. Implementar o método de estimação literal, decomposição de Cholesky e decomposição QR.
  • Função para calcular o quadro de análise de variância.
  • Função para tabela de estimativas com erro-padrão e IC.
  • Função para quadro de anova particionado.
  • Função para calcular o valor predito com IC.
  • Entregar o código impresso das funções programadas no dia 24/03/14.

## Estima o vetor de parâmetros \beta
mycoef <- function(X, y, method){
...
}
 
## Retorna o quadro de análise de variância corrigido para a média
myanova <- function(X, y){
...
}
 
## Retorna a tabela com erros padrões, t-valor, p-valor e IC para \betas
mycoeftable <- function(X, y, conf=0.95){
...
}
 
## Retorna o quadro de análise de variância particionado para X1
myanovapart <- function(X, y, X1){
...
}
 
## Retorna o valor predito com IC
mypredict <- function(x0, betas, vcov, conf){
...
}

Trabalho 2

  • Fazer estudo de simulação para estudar a distribuição amostral dos estimadores e das estatísticas do testes.
  • Verificar que Graph, Graph, e que Graph têm distribuição Normal.
  • Verificar que Graph e que Latex têm distribuição F sob H0 que Graph.
  • Estudar a distribuição da estatística F = QMReg/QMres e comparar com o F anterior.
  • Entregar código impresso com gráficos e tabelas que sobre os resultados solicitados no dia 24/03/14.

## Função que retorna estimativas de parâmetros e estatísticas sob uma
## amostra aleatória simulada ao ser executada.
mysimula <- function(X, beta, sigma, A, m=beta){
...
}
 
results <- replicate(10000, mysimula)

Trabalho 3

  • Programar funções para obter:
    • Resíduos ordinários, padronizados e studentizados;
    • Valores de alavancagem;
    • Distância de Cook;
    • DFfits, DFbetas;
  • As funções devem receber como argumentos as matrizes X e y e retornas as respectivas medidas;
  • Alavancagem

Graph

  • Resíduos crus

Graph

  • Resíduos padronizados (ou internamente studentizados)

Graph

  • Resíduos studentizados (ou externamente studentizados)

Graph

  • Distância de Cook

Graph

  • DFfits

Graph

  • DFbetas

Graph

##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Definições da sessão.
 
require(lattice)
require(latticeExtra)
require(car)
 
## Função vif da página da Professora Dra Sueli Giolo.
source("http://people.ufpr.br/~giolo/CE071/Exemplos/vif.R")
 
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Dados de gasto com alimentação (foodcons) em função da receita da
## família (income) e do número de membros (size).
##
## Ajuste um modelo com foodcons~income+size. Faça uma análise
## completa do modelo e verifique se há necessidade de modificações. Se
## sim, proceda e justifique.
 
da <-
    read.table("http://www.leg.ufpr.br/~walmes/data/business_economics_dataset/EXERCISE/DCFOOD.DAT")
names(da) <- c("house","foodcons","income","size")
str(da)
 
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Engenheiros mediram o comprimento (length, cm) e o peso (weight, g) e
## o nível de DDT (ddt, ppm) para 144 peixes capturados. Além do mais, a
## distância de captura rio acima (mile), o rio (river) e a espécie do
## peixe (species) também foram registrados.
##
## Ajuste um modelo com ddt~mile+length+weight. Faça uma análise
## completa do modelo e verifique se há necessidade de modificações. Se
## sim, proceda e justifique.
 
db <-
    read.table("http://www.leg.ufpr.br/~walmes/data/business_economics_dataset/EXERCISE/DDT.DAT")
names(db) <- c("river","mile","species","length","weight","ddt")
str(db)
 
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

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Phyllis, 2022/11/16 02:04

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Sarah, 2022/11/15 23:56

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Tim, 2022/11/14 02:40

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Webb, 2022/11/13 07:53

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Maria, 2022/11/07 16:37

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Katina, 2022/11/06 11:39

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Anthony, 2022/11/04 04:01

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Lisa, 2022/11/02 18:23

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Michele Mottin, 2014/06/06 10:11

Arquivo em pdf da última avaliação.

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Michele Mottin, 2014/06/06 10:12

Alunas: Isadora, Michele e Renata

Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas, 2014/06/05 01:21

Dados e apresentação (Paula, Jessica e Wagner)

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/b19884e6

Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior, 2014/06/04 15:56

Slides utilizados no seminário. 03/06/2014 - Daniel; Eduardo; Gabriel

Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior, 2014/06/04 15:57

download dos slides em: http://www.datafilehost.com/d/220d8b44

Ana Flávia do Carmo Santos, 2014/06/02 21:48

Apresentação do Trabalho Final de Regressão Ana Flávia, Cintia e Damiane

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Michele Mottin, 2014/05/26 22:34

Trabalho 6 - Isadora, Michele e Renata

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gabriel, 2014/05/26 22:31

Trabalho Eduardo, Daniel , Gabriel http://www.datafilehost.com/d/30690446 http://www.datafilehost.com/d/f5b3addd

gabriel, 2014/05/26 22:32

trabalho 6

Ana Flávia do Carmo Santos, 2014/05/26 22:18

Trabalho 6 - Exercícios do capitulo 35 do livro Statistics for Environmental Engineers

Ana Flávia, Cintia e Damiane

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Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas, 2014/05/26 21:37

Alunos: Jessica Inoue Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas Wagner Lopes do Nascimento TRABALHO 5: http://www.datafilehost.com/d/e130f4bb

Isadora Aparecida Sprengoski do Nascimento, 2014/05/12 22:02

Trabalho 5 - Exercıcio 6.6 do livro Applied Linear Regression - Isadora Nascimento, Michele Mottin e Renata Ferreira

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Alexandre Doral Marques, 2014/05/12 21:10

Trabalho 4 http://www.datafilehost.com/d/106084c0

Ana Flávia do Carmo Santos, 2014/05/12 20:50

Trabalho 5 - Exercıcio 6.13 do livro Applied Linear Regression

Ana Flávia, Cintia e Damiane

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Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior , 2014/05/12 20:32

Trabalho 4. Exerccicio 6.4 data "twins"

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Paula Alessandra Zeizer, 2014/05/12 11:35

Trabalho 4 - parte 2 Alunos: Paula, Jessica, Wagner http://www.datafilehost.com/d/20fa4b01

Alexandre Doral Marques, 2014/04/17 01:17

TRABALHO 3

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Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior, 2014/04/16 23:28

Medidas de Influencia.

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Ana Flávia do Carmo Santos, 2014/04/16 22:32

Trabalho 4 http://www.datafilehost.com/d/12da85d5

Isadora Aparecida Sprengoski do Nascimento, 2014/04/16 21:57

Trabalho 4 (baseado no trabalho 3) http://www.datafilehost.com/d/e41a9bd5

Wagner Lopes do Nascimento, 2014/04/16 21:24

Trabalho 3

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Michele Mottin, 2014/04/16 21:14

Trabalho 3 - Programar funções

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/9a419c25 arquivo R

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Cintia Maestrelli Consulin, 2014/04/16 21:12

Trabalho 03 http://www.datafilehost.com/d/c13cab08

Daniel T. Jr, 2014/04/16 21:00

Trabalho sobre funções de medidas de influência. http://bit.ly/1iqRiob

Damiane Ferreira, 2014/04/16 20:54

Trabalho 3

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Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas, 2014/04/16 20:25

Trabalho 4 - http://www.datafilehost.com/d/2b2d3e53

Jessica Mitiko Inoue, 2014/04/16 20:21

Trabalho 04 - Analise de Regressao Linear http://www.datafilehost.com/d/a81681e1

Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior, 2014/04/03 02:08

Trabalho 3 - Regressão Linear. ex.: 12.76 Conjunto de dados EBI

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Michele Mottin, 2014/04/03 00:33

Trabalho Regressão

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Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas, 2014/04/02 23:18

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/e24acc98 http://www.datafilehost.com/d/049bbe0a

Renata Ferreira da Silva , 2014/04/02 22:40

Trabalho de Regressão 3

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Alexandre Doral Marques 2, 2014/04/02 20:33

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/9877f6cb

Cintia Maestrelli Consulin, 2014/04/02 20:28

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/ff544e8d

Paula Alessandra Zeizer Dimas, 2014/04/02 20:20

Trabalho 3 - Regressão

Ana Flávia do Carmo Santos, 2014/04/02 20:19

Trabalho 3 - Análise de Regressão Linear http://www.datafilehost.com/d/a021e242

Gustavo Vinicius do Nascimento, 2014/04/02 19:37

Trabalho 2 - http://www.datafilehost.com/d/1834d01f

Alexandre Doral Marques, 2014/04/02 19:36

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/d02f2da6

Isadora Aparecida Sprengoski do Nascimento, 2014/04/02 19:01

Trabalho http://www.datafilehost.com/d/b393c124

Daniel T. Jr, 2014/04/02 16:33

Exercício 12.86

[http://bit.ly/1pNGbYC Download]

Damiane Ferreira, 2014/04/02 01:39

Trabalho 2 - Análise de Regressão

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Damiane Ferreira, 2014/04/02 20:22

Trabalho com os dados em arquivo ZIP. http://www.datafilehost.com/d/fb9f01c7

Eduardo Elias Ribeiro Junior, 2014/03/29 18:31

Material não muito extenso mais útil para declaração de modelos no R, entre outros funcionalidades do R para regressão.

http://www.datafilehost.com/d/ae7eb389

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